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Public record · posted 24 hours later

How Bitcoin reacts to Trump's posts

BTC · all markets

Across 113 measured posts, Bitcoin moved beyond its own normal range 44 times: 39% of the time.

Its typical move is 0.080%, counting every measured post, including all the times nothing happened. On the times it did react, the median was 0.190%.

In 107 cases out of 113 the move came back within the measurement window: it is why trades close by themselves instead of staying open. When it did come back, it took 6 minutes from the post, as a median.

"Beyond its own normal range" means at least 2× what this market normally does: the threshold is this market's own, not one number for everybody.

It is a count of what has happened so far: on the next post these numbers say nothing.

The last times it moved

These are the times this market cleared its own normal range, not the latest posts: in all the others it stayed put. The chart shows this market's line alone, as the change from the minute of the post.

07/08/2026 15:36 · @realDonaldTrump · Truth Social
+0.17%

«A must read! Thank you to James Jay Carafano! Donald Trump Won The Iran War: https://www.19fortyfive.com/2026/08/donald-trump-won-the-iran-war/»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 15:36 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: BTC +0.17%.0%BTC+0.34%-0.70%30 min before15:36+60 min
BTC+0.17%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

07/08/2026 16:22 · U.S. Trade Representative · official release
+0.29%

«Ambassador Greer Issues Statement Welcoming S&P Global’s Release of Critical Minerals Pricing Benchmarks — Ambassador Greer Issues Statement Welcoming S&P Global’s Release of C…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 16:22 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: BTC +0.29%.0%BTC+0.48%-0.42%30 min before16:22+60 min
BTC+0.29%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

07/08/2026 14:32 · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · official data
-0.23%

«Major Economic Indicators Latest Numbers — Consumer Price Index (CPI): -0.4% in Jun 2026 · Unemployment Rate: 4.1% in Jul 2026 · Payroll Employment: -23,000(p) in Jul 2026 · Averag…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 14:32 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: BTC -0.23%.0%BTC+0.35%-0.31%30 min before14:32+60 min
BTC-0.23%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

05/08/2026 00:52 · @realDonaldTrump · Truth Social
+0.11%

«For far too long, Radical Climate Activists attempted to hold our Great Country hostage by drastically and unreasonably expanding the intended scope of the Endangered Species Act. …»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 00:52 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: BTC +0.11%.0%BTC+0.55%-0.18%30 min before00:52+60 min
BTC+0.11%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

05/08/2026 00:52 · @realDonaldTrump · Truth Social
+0.11%

«Congratulations to Brandon Beach, Treasurer of the United States, on having a portion of Highway 9 in Alpharetta, Georgia, named in his honor! He helped us secure a HISTORIC Victor…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 00:52 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: BTC +0.11%.0%BTC+0.55%-0.18%30 min before00:52+60 min
BTC+0.11%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

04/08/2026 22:38 · @realDonaldTrump · Truth Social
+0.27%

«Manufacturing is BOOMING! Factory activity just hit its fastest pace in more than FOUR YEARS, far exceeding expectations. New orders have expanded for SEVEN straight months. Americ…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 22:38 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: BTC +0.27%.0%BTC+0.35%-0.42%30 min before22:38+60 min
BTC+0.27%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

The other markets we measure

Euro-dollar · Gold · Silver · S&P 500 · Nasdaq · Dow Jones · Oil · Natural gas · Copper · Chinese yuan · Mexican peso · US Treasuries · Volatility · Italy · Germany · Euro Stoxx 50

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Automated indication on market data, identical for all subscribers and not related to your position. It is not investment advice (art. 1(5-septies), Italian TUF). Decisions and risk are yours. Method, sources and disclosures: https://trumptruthpulse.it/note-legali.php

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