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Public record · posted 24 hours later

How Chinese yuan reacts to Trump's posts

USD/CNH · all markets

Across 85 measured posts, Chinese yuan moved beyond its own normal range 5 times: 6% of the time.

Its typical move is 0.010%, counting every measured post, including all the times nothing happened. On the times it did react, the median was 0.020%.

In 73 cases out of 85 the move came back within the measurement window: it is why trades close by themselves instead of staying open. When it did come back, it took 6 minutes from the post, as a median.

"Beyond its own normal range" means at least 2× what this market normally does: the threshold is this market's own, not one number for everybody.

It is a count of what has happened so far: on the next post these numbers say nothing.

The last times it moved

These are the times this market cleared its own normal range, not the latest posts: in all the others it stayed put. The chart shows this market's line alone, as the change from the minute of the post.

07/08/2026 14:32 · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · official data
-0.03%

«Major Economic Indicators Latest Numbers — Consumer Price Index (CPI): -0.4% in Jun 2026 · Unemployment Rate: 4.1% in Jul 2026 · Payroll Employment: -23,000(p) in Jul 2026 · Averag…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 14:32 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Yuan -0.03%.0%Yuan+0.08%-0.06%30 min before14:32+60 min
Yuan-0.03%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

06/08/2026 23:03 · White House · official act
+0.02%

«Adjusting Imports of Polysilicon and its Derivatives into the United States — BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A PROCLAMATION 1. Polysilicon is the base material un…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 23:03 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Yuan +0.02%.0%Yuan+0.05%-0.03%30 min before23:03+60 min
Yuan+0.02%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

05/08/2026 00:34 · @realDonaldTrump · Truth Social
-0.02%

«The Highly Respected Alan Dershowitz has written a powerful new book, “Why I quit the Dems and so should you! (confessions of a reluctant Republican*).” Alan is a Great American Pa…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 00:34 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Yuan -0.02%.0%Yuan+0.03%-0.03%30 min before00:34+60 min
Yuan-0.02%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

05/08/2026 00:34 · @realDonaldTrump · Truth Social
-0.02%

«It was my Honor to write the Foreword for Brian Pannebecker’s incredible new Book, “Blue Collar Conservative: From Reagan to Trump.” As the head of Autoworkers for Trump, Brian has…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 00:34 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Yuan -0.02%.0%Yuan+0.03%-0.03%30 min before00:34+60 min
Yuan-0.02%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

31/07/2026 16:55 · State Department · official release
+0.03%

«Secretary Rubio’s Call with Peruvian President Fujimori — The following is attributable to Spokesperson Tommy Pigott: Secretary of State Marco Rubio congratulated Peruvian Presiden…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 16:55 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Yuan +0.03%.0%Yuan+0.04%-0.02%30 min before16:55+60 min
Yuan+0.03%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

The other markets we measure

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