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Public record · posted 24 hours later

How Dow Jones reacts to Trump's posts

DIA · all markets

Across 35 measured posts, Dow Jones moved beyond its own normal range 7 times: 20% of the time.

Its typical move is 0.050%, counting every measured post, including all the times nothing happened. On the times it did react, the median was 0.110%.

In 30 cases out of 35 the move came back within the measurement window: it is why trades close by themselves instead of staying open. When it did come back, it took 6 minutes from the post, as a median.

"Beyond its own normal range" means at least 2× what this market normally does: the threshold is this market's own, not one number for everybody.

It is a count of what has happened so far: on the next post these numbers say nothing.

The last times it moved

These are the times this market cleared its own normal range, not the latest posts: in all the others it stayed put. The chart shows this market's line alone, as the change from the minute of the post.

07/08/2026 15:36 · @realDonaldTrump · Truth Social
+0.29%

«A must read! Thank you to James Jay Carafano! Donald Trump Won The Iran War: https://www.19fortyfive.com/2026/08/donald-trump-won-the-iran-war/»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 15:36 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Dow Jones +0.29%.0%Dow Jones+0.48%-0.16%30 min before15:36+60 min
Dow Jones+0.29%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

07/08/2026 16:22 · U.S. Trade Representative · official release
+0.11%

«Ambassador Greer Issues Statement Welcoming S&P Global’s Release of Critical Minerals Pricing Benchmarks — Ambassador Greer Issues Statement Welcoming S&P Global’s Release of C…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 16:22 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Dow Jones +0.11%.0%Dow Jones+0.22%-0.16%30 min before16:22+60 min
Dow Jones+0.11%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

04/08/2026 16:36 · @realDonaldTrump · Truth Social
+0.11%

«UAW: 'Strategic' Tariffs Prompt Industry Hiring Surge: https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/united-auto-workers-tariffs-hiring-surge/2026/03/11/id/1249195/»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 16:36 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Dow Jones +0.11%.0%Dow Jones+0.45%-0.23%30 min before16:36+60 min
Dow Jones+0.11%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

03/08/2026 15:50 · @realDonaldTrump · Truth Social
+0.18%

«Mike Wirth, Chairman and CEO of Chevron, just gave, in an interview with the fabulous Maria Bartiromo, all of the reasons that his company is doing so well. The only thing he conve…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 15:50 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Dow Jones +0.18%.0%Dow Jones+0.34%-0.10%30 min before15:50+60 min
Dow Jones+0.18%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

31/07/2026 16:55 · State Department · official release
+0.11%

«Secretary Rubio’s Call with Peruvian President Fujimori — The following is attributable to Spokesperson Tommy Pigott: Secretary of State Marco Rubio congratulated Peruvian Presiden…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 16:55 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Dow Jones +0.11%.0%Dow Jones+0.35%-0.33%30 min before16:55+60 min
Dow Jones+0.11%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

29/07/2026 16:54 · State Department · official release
-0.10%

«Countering Iran’s Exploitation of the Strait of Hormuz — Today, the United States designated the Persian Gulf Marine Insurance Company and Hormuz Safe Marine Services Authority, tw…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 16:54 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Dow Jones -0.10%.0%Dow Jones+0.10%-0.20%30 min before16:54+60 min
Dow Jones-0.10%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

The other markets we measure

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