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Public record · posted 24 hours later

How Natural gas reacts to Trump's posts

NG · all markets

Across 69 measured posts, Natural gas moved beyond its own normal range 10 times: 14% of the time.

Its typical move is 0.080%, counting every measured post, including all the times nothing happened. On the times it did react, the median was 0.300%.

In 64 cases out of 69 the move came back within the measurement window: it is why trades close by themselves instead of staying open. When it did come back, it took 6 minutes from the post, as a median.

"Beyond its own normal range" means at least 2× what this market normally does: the threshold is this market's own, not one number for everybody.

It is a count of what has happened so far: on the next post these numbers say nothing.

The last times it moved

These are the times this market cleared its own normal range, not the latest posts: in all the others it stayed put. The chart shows this market's line alone, as the change from the minute of the post.

07/08/2026 14:32 · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · official data
+0.30%

«Major Economic Indicators Latest Numbers — Consumer Price Index (CPI): -0.4% in Jun 2026 · Unemployment Rate: 4.1% in Jul 2026 · Payroll Employment: -23,000(p) in Jul 2026 · Averag…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 14:32 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Nat gas +0.30%.0%Nat gas+1.80%-0.66%30 min before14:32+60 min
Nat gas+0.30%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

06/08/2026 18:05 · State Department · official release
-0.23%

«Targeting Enablers of the Cuban Regime’s Arms Imports and Foreign Military Cooperation — The Cuban Communist regime is a state sponsor of terrorism that uses its military and intel…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 18:05 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Nat gas -0.23%.0%Nat gas+0.64%-0.34%30 min before18:05+60 min
Nat gas-0.23%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

06/08/2026 14:30 · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · official data
-0.30%

«Major Economic Indicators Latest Numbers — Consumer Price Index (CPI): -0.4% in Jun 2026 · Unemployment Rate: 4.2% in Jun 2026 · Payroll Employment: +57,000(p) in Jun 2026 · Averag…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 14:30 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Nat gas -0.30%.0%Nat gas+0.39%-1.07%30 min before14:30+60 min
Nat gas-0.30%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

04/08/2026 16:38 · @realDonaldTrump · Truth Social
+0.23%

«Trump: ‘Deal Is Imminent’ as Iran Talks Restart Monday on Denuclearization, Hormuz: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2026/08/02/trump-deal-imminent-iran-talks-restart-monday-horm…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 16:38 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Nat gas +0.23%.0%Nat gas+0.65%-0.13%30 min before16:38+60 min
Nat gas+0.23%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

31/07/2026 14:30 · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · official data
-0.65%

«Major Economic Indicators Latest Numbers — Consumer Price Index (CPI): -0.4% in Jun 2026 · Unemployment Rate: 4.2% in Jun 2026 · Payroll Employment: +57,000(p) in Jun 2026 · Averag…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 14:30 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Nat gas -0.65%.0%Nat gas+0.82%-1.93%30 min before14:30+60 min
Nat gas-0.65%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

31/07/2026 14:14 · State Department · official release
-0.32%

«Alert to Countries, Companies, and Other Entities Regarding North Korean IT Workers — Office of the Spokesperson Alert to Countries, Companies, and Other Entities Regarding North K…»

Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE · original post ↗

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 14:14 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Nat gas -0.32%.0%Nat gas+0.40%-2.11%30 min before14:14+60 min
Nat gas-0.32%

The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.

The other markets we measure

Bitcoin · Euro-dollar · Gold · Silver · S&P 500 · Nasdaq · Dow Jones · Oil · Copper · Chinese yuan · Mexican peso · US Treasuries · Volatility · Italy · Germany · Euro Stoxx 50

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