Trump Truth PulseHow US Treasuries reacts to Trump's posts
TLT · all markets
Across 35 measured posts, US Treasuries moved beyond its own normal range 5 times: 14% of the time.
Its typical move is 0.020%, counting every measured post, including all the times nothing happened. On the times it did react, the median was 0.070%.
In 34 cases out of 35 the move came back within the measurement window: it is why trades close by themselves instead of staying open. When it did come back, it took 6 minutes from the post, as a median.
"Beyond its own normal range" means at least 2× what this market normally does: the threshold is this market's own, not one number for everybody.
It is a count of what has happened so far: on the next post these numbers say nothing.
The last times it moved
These are the times this market cleared its own normal range, not the latest posts: in all the others it stayed put. The chart shows this market's line alone, as the change from the minute of the post.
«Ambassador Greer Issues Statement Welcoming S&P Global’s Release of Critical Minerals Pricing Benchmarks — Ambassador Greer Issues Statement Welcoming S&P Global’s Release of C…»
Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE → · original post ↗
The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.
«UAW: 'Strategic' Tariffs Prompt Industry Hiring Surge: https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/united-auto-workers-tariffs-hiring-surge/2026/03/11/id/1249195/»
Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE → · original post ↗
The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.
«Iranian Leadership is unbelievably duplicitous! They ask for a meeting, some would say “beg,” talks begin, with more scheduled in the immediate future, and they say, openly and pro…»
Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE → · original post ↗
The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.
«Secretary Rubio’s Call with Peruvian President Fujimori — The following is attributable to Spokesperson Tommy Pigott: Secretary of State Marco Rubio congratulated Peruvian Presiden…»
Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE → · original post ↗
The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.
«Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement»
Across the markets: UP → · original post ↗
The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.
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