How Gold reacts to Trump's posts
XAU · all markets
Across 102 measured posts, Gold moved beyond its own normal range 23 times: 23% of the time.
Its typical move is 0.040%, counting every measured post, including all the times nothing happened. On the times it did react, the median was 0.110%.
In 98 cases out of 102 the move came back within the measurement window: it is why trades close by themselves instead of staying open. When it did come back, it took 5 minutes from the post, as a median.
"Beyond its own normal range" means at least 2× what this market normally does: the threshold is this market's own, not one number for everybody.
It is a count of what has happened so far: on the next post these numbers say nothing.
The last times it moved
These are the times this market cleared its own normal range, not the latest posts: in all the others it stayed put. The chart shows this market's line alone, as the change from the minute of the post.
«A must read! Thank you to James Jay Carafano! Donald Trump Won The Iran War: https://www.19fortyfive.com/2026/08/donald-trump-won-the-iran-war/»
Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE → · original post ↗
The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.
«Major Economic Indicators Latest Numbers — Consumer Price Index (CPI): -0.4% in Jun 2026 · Unemployment Rate: 4.1% in Jul 2026 · Payroll Employment: -23,000(p) in Jul 2026 · Averag…»
Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE → · original post ↗
The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.
«Côte d’Ivoire National Day — On behalf of the United States of America, I offer my warmest congratulations to President Alassane Ouattara and the people of Côte d’Ivoire as they ma…»
Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE → · original post ↗
The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.
«Trump allies push to arm president with new tariff weapon to punish countries 'ripping off' America: https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-allies-push-arm-president-new-tariff-wea…»
Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE → · original post ↗
The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.
«It is my Great Honor to endorse Highly Respected State Senator, Brent Taylor, who is running to represent the Incredible People of Tennessee’s 9th Congressional District. Brent is …»
Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE → · original post ↗
The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.
«Congressman David Kustoff is a Tremendous Champion for Tennessee’s 8th Congressional District! As a former Criminal Prosecutor, David knows the Wisdom and Courage required to uphol…»
Across the markets: NORMAL RANGE → · original post ↗
The market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on.
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