The markets after Trump's post of 18/08/2026 15:30
@realDonaldTrump · Truth Social
«There are no talks or conversations going on, or scheduled, with the Islamic Republic of Iran. The Naval Blockade remains in full force and effect. The Hormuz Strait is open and operating. All water mines have been removed or detonated. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP»
✗ 10 markets went up together (need 11, that is 60% of those with a price). Oil, Nasdaq, BTC and Nat gas went down instead.
✓ the markets moved well beyond their usual: 2.1 times their normal move, and it takes at least 2.0 times to count as a reaction. The ones that moved most: Treasuries 3.6, Silver 3.3 and Italy 3.3 times their usual.
✗ 1 market moved more than 0.25% (need 2). The biggest was Silver, at 0.40%. Oil 0.41% did move more than that, but it went the other way from the rest, so it is not part of the trade.
Silver
+0.51%
back in 18 minutes
Oil
-0.46%
back in 6 minutes
Volatility
+0.38%
back in 4 minutes
Nasdaq
-0.22%
back in 4 minutes
Gold
+0.19%
back in 23 minutes
Dow Jones
+0.15%
we did not see it come back in 2 hours
Copper
+0.14%
back in 14 minutes
BTC
-0.12%
back in 6 minutes
Euro Stoxx
+0.11%
back in 5 minutes
Italy
+0.11%
back in 13 minutes
Treasuries
+0.11%
we did not see it come back in 2 hours
S&P 500
+0.08%
back in 2 minutes
Germany
+0.05%
back in 4 minutes
Peso
-0.05%
back in 2 minutes
Nat gas
-0.04%
back in 2 minutes
EUR/USD
-0.03%
back in 2 minutes
Yuan
-0.02%
back in 5 minutes
Under each market is how long the price took to give back half the move: that is how long the move lasted.
Silver+0.51%Oil-0.46%Nasdaq-0.22%and 14 other measured markets
Each market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on. Markets that stayed still are shown in grey: they are as much part of the measurement as the others.
This page is the record, posted 24 hours later. Subscribers get the post on their phone as it comes out, with the measurement of all 17 markets five minutes later and the verdict that comes from it.
Automated indication on market data, identical for all subscribers and not related to your position. It is not investment advice (art. 1(5-septies), Italian TUF). Decisions and risk are yours. Method, sources and disclosures: https://trumptruthpulse.it/note-legali.php
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