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Public record · posted 24 hours later

The markets after State Department's post of 18/08/2026 19:46

State Department · official release

«Advancing the United States’ Campaign to Address the Threat Posed by the International Criminal Court - Marco Rubio, Secretary of State Advancing the United States’ Campaign to Address the Threat Posed by the International Criminal Court Press Statement August 18, 2026 The Trump Administration has been clear: the International Criminal Court (ICC) is a corrupt and fatally politicized supranationa…»

original post ↗

NORMAL RANGE
we had the price of 16 markets (4 are enough). One other market was closed or still in those minutes.
8 markets went up together (need 10, that is 60% of those with a price). Oil, BTC, Gold and Silver went down instead.
the markets moved less than they normally do: 0.3 times their normal move, and it takes at least 2.0 times to count as a reaction. The ones that came closest: Peso 1.0, Gold 0.8 and BTC 0.7 times their usual.
no market moved more than 0.25% (need 2). The biggest was Nat gas, at 0.04%.
Nat gas
+0.15%
we did not see it come back in 2 hours
Oil
-0.12%
back in 7 minutes
Silver
-0.09%
back in 7 minutes
Volatility
-0.05%
back in 5 minutes
BTC
-0.04%
back in 7 minutes
Gold
-0.04%
back in 5 minutes
Peso
-0.03%
back in 9 minutes
Dow Jones
+0.02%
back in 12 minutes
Copper
-0.02%
back in 7 minutes
Germany
-0.01%
back in 47 minutes
EUR/USD
-0.01%
back in 5 minutes
Euro Stoxx
-0.01%
we did not see it come back in 2 hours
Nasdaq
+0.01%
back in 3 minutes
S&P 500
+0.01%
back in 8 minutes
Treasuries
+0.01%
back in 5 minutes
Yuan
0.00%
we did not see it come back in 2 hours

Under each market is how long the price took to give back half the move: that is how long the move lasted.

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 19:46 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Largest moves: Nat gas +0.15%, Oil -0.12%, Silver -0.09%.0%Nat gasSilverOil+1.04%-0.46%30 min before19:46+60 min
Nat gas+0.15%Oil-0.12%Silver-0.09%and 13 other measured markets

Each market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on. Markets that stayed still are shown in grey: they are as much part of the measurement as the others.

No market cleared its own normal range on this post. How often each one reacts

Alerts arrive as soon as the post shows up

This page is the record, posted 24 hours later. Subscribers get the post on their phone as it comes out, with the measurement of all 17 markets five minutes later and the verdict that comes from it.

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