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Public record · posted 24 hours later

The markets after State Department's post of 20/08/2026 14:42

State Department · official release

Times are Italian time and show when the post appeared: they come from the source that brought it to us, and are sometimes a few minutes later than the actual publication.

«Statement from Assistant Secretary Dylan Johnson on Wrongful Detention Designation for U.S. Citizen Min Zin - Secretary Rubio has determined that U.S. citizen Min Zin is wrongfully detained in China. This follows an extensive review of the circumstances surrounding his June 3 detention in Yunnan, China, where Mr. Zin had traveled to attend an academic conference at the invitation of the Chinese go…»

original post ↗

UP
theoretical return +0.80%
we had the price of 9 markets (4 are enough). 8 other markets were closed or still in those minutes.
6 markets went up together (need 6, that is 60% of those with a price). Oil, BTC and Gold went down instead.
the markets moved well beyond their usual: 2.4 times their normal move, and it takes at least 2.0 times to count as a reaction. The ones that moved most: BTC 4.4, Nat gas 3.7 and Silver 2.7 times their usual.
2 markets moved more than 0.25% (need 2). They are: Nat gas 0.40%, Silver 0.33%. Oil 0.31% did move more than that, but it went the other way from the rest, so it is not part of the trade.
Nat gas
+0.40%
back in 10 minutes
Silver
+0.33%
we did not see it come back in 2 hours
Oil
-0.31%
we did not see it come back in 2 hours
BTC
-0.24%
back in 8 minutes
Copper
+0.17%
we did not see it come back in 2 hours
Gold
-0.11%
back in 3 minutes
Peso
-0.07%
we did not see it come back in 2 hours
EUR/USD
+0.04%
back in 5 minutes
Yuan
-0.01%
back in 64 minutes

Under each market is how long the price took to give back half the move: that is how long the move lasted.

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 14:42 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Markets listed below the chart: Nat gas +0.40%, Silver +0.33%, BTC -0.24%, Copper +0.17%, Gold -0.11%, Peso -0.07%, EUR/USD +0.04%.0%SilverNat gasBTC+2.34%-1.26%30 min before14:42+60 min
Nat gas+0.40%Silver+0.33%BTC-0.24%Copper+0.17%Gold-0.11%Peso-0.07%EUR/USD+0.04%and 2 other measured markets

Each market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on. The other measured markets are shown in grey: they are as much part of the measurement as the others. The ones not named above moved less than they usually do.

How often the markets that moved here react: Natural gas · Silver · Bitcoin · Copper · Gold · Mexican peso · Euro-dollar

Alerts arrive as soon as the post shows up

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