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Public record · posted 24 hours later

The markets after U.S. Trade Representative's post of 01/09/2026 19:25

U.S. Trade Representative · official release

Times are Italian time and show when the post appeared: they come from the source that brought it to us, and are sometimes a few minutes later than the actual publication.

«Media Credentialing Opens for the G20 Trade Ministerial in Milwaukee, Wisconsin - WASHINGTON — On Wednesday, September 30, and Thursday, October 1, Ambassador Jamieson Greer will host the G20 Trade Ministerial in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. During the ministerial, USTR will lead discussions with the G20 Trade Ministers on a range of issues, including eradicating forced labor in global supply chains, upd…»

original post ↗

NORMAL RANGE
we had the price of 17 markets (4 are enough).
10 markets went up together (need 11, that is 60% of those with a price). Oil, Gold, Nat gas and EUR/USD went down instead.
the markets moved more than usual, but not enough: 1.3 times their normal move, and it takes at least 2.0 times to count as a reaction. The ones that came closest: Gold 18.8, Germany 2.5 and EUR/USD 2.3 times their usual.
no market moved more than 0.25% (need 2). The biggest was Germany, at 0.11%. Volatility 0.31% did move more than that, but it goes the opposite way by nature: it rises when the others fall, so it is not part of the trade.
Volatility
-0.28%
back in 39 minutes
Oil
-0.17%
back in 3 minutes
Silver
+0.16%
back in 9 minutes
BTC
+0.09%
back in 19 minutes
Nasdaq
+0.09%
back in 21 minutes
Germany
+0.08%
back in 11 minutes
Euro Stoxx
+0.08%
back in 11 minutes
Copper
+0.08%
back in 9 minutes
Nat gas
-0.07%
back in 10 minutes
Gold
-0.06%
back in 4 minutes
S&P 500
+0.05%
back in 24 minutes
Treasuries
+0.04%
back in 9 minutes
Italy
+0.03%
back in 26 minutes
Dow Jones
-0.02%
back in 2 minutes
EUR/USD
-0.02%
back in 4 minutes
Peso
+0.02%
back in 4 minutes
Yuan
-0.01%
back in 9 minutes

Under each market is how long the price took to give back half the move: that is how long the move lasted.

Measured markets from half an hour before to an hour after the 19:25 post, as percentage change from the moment of the post. Markets listed below the chart: Volatility -0.28%, Gold -0.06%, EUR/USD -0.02%.0%VolatilityEUR/USDGold+0.63%-1.13%30 min before19:25+60 min
Volatility-0.28%Gold-0.06%EUR/USD-0.02%and 14 other measured markets

Each market's change from the minute of the post. The gold line is the post, the band the five minutes the reaction is measured on. The other measured markets are shown in grey: they moved less than they usually do, and they are as much part of the measurement as the others.

How often the markets that moved here react: Volatility · Gold · Euro-dollar

Alerts arrive as soon as the post shows up

This page is the record, posted 24 hours later. Subscribers get the post on their phone as it comes out, with the measurement of all 17 markets five minutes later and the verdict that comes from it.

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